COVID-19 Cases in Lagos Likely to Peak in August – Commissioner

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SWITZERLAND, JULY 24 – The Lagos State Commissioner for Health, Prof. Akin Abayomi, said on Thursday that the state may experience the peak of coronavirus by August.

Speaking at a press briefing on Thursday, Mr Abayomi said that the COVID-19 prediction model of the state holds that the pandemic will soon reach its peak, followed by the flattening of the curve and a gradual decline in the number of cases.

He said: “Modelling is not always accurate. So, this is just a postulation and I hope Lagos State will soon flatten the curve.

“We are refining the model so that we can get a better grasp when the cases will peak and when we are likely to experience the downward trend of the outbreak.”

Abayomi said the rapid diagnostic test has proven unreliable as there have been several contradicting results from its use.

The commissioner said: “Rapid diagnostic test has been put through a rigorous validation process and all tests have failed as they do not have enough accuracy that are reliable enough for the COVID-19 response.

“The test gives negative result when the patient is positive and vice versa, these misleading results have led to deaths of patients who are positive as they do not recognise the importance of being moved to the isolation facilities.

He, however, pointed out that the experience was not peculiar to Nigeria, as the World Health Organisation (WHO) has not been able to get a rapid diagnostic test certified for COVID-19 testing.

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